Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#263
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#264
Pace74.2#46
Improvement+3.7#48

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#248
First Shot-2.6#252
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#207
Layup/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows-3.2#335
Improvement+1.6#89

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#251
First Shot-1.6#223
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#299
Layups/Dunks-0.8#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#329
Freethrows+2.6#42
Improvement+2.0#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2016 91   @ St. Bonaventure L 82-92 11%     0 - 1 -2.5 +7.7 -9.5
  Nov 16, 2016 209   @ Duquesne L 75-89 30%     0 - 2 -14.4 -3.7 -9.6
  Nov 23, 2016 347   Longwood W 87-72 90%     1 - 2 -5.3 +1.5 -7.2
  Nov 26, 2016 304   @ American W 69-62 52%     2 - 2 +0.5 +0.3 +0.8
  Nov 30, 2016 294   @ NJIT L 70-83 50%     2 - 3 -18.9 -8.3 -9.9
  Dec 03, 2016 312   Binghamton L 70-73 74%     2 - 4 -15.5 -6.5 -9.1
  Dec 12, 2016 133   @ Lehigh L 67-100 17%     2 - 5 -28.8 -13.5 -10.3
  Dec 17, 2016 208   Stony Brook L 63-75 48%     2 - 6 -17.5 -12.7 -4.8
  Dec 19, 2016 28   @ Marquette L 65-78 3%     2 - 7 +2.8 -9.0 +12.5
  Dec 21, 2016 66   @ Texas A&M L 58-81 7%     2 - 8 -12.1 -2.5 -11.6
  Dec 29, 2016 277   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 65-77 45%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -16.5 -13.6 -2.7
  Dec 31, 2016 299   @ Sacred Heart W 87-67 51%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +13.7 +7.1 +5.5
  Jan 05, 2017 346   St. Francis Brooklyn W 81-56 90%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +5.2 -1.4 +5.8
  Jan 07, 2017 261   LIU Brooklyn L 70-83 59%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -21.3 +1.3 -24.1
  Jan 12, 2017 275   @ Robert Morris W 77-57 44%     5 - 10 3 - 2 +15.7 +7.7 +8.1
  Jan 14, 2017 216   @ Mount St. Mary's L 72-78 32%     5 - 11 3 - 3 -7.0 -0.6 -6.2
  Jan 19, 2017 285   Bryant W 75-61 66%     6 - 11 4 - 3 +3.7 -8.2 +11.2
  Jan 21, 2017 338   Central Connecticut St. L 83-84 OT 85%     6 - 12 4 - 4 -18.3 -3.3 -14.9
  Jan 26, 2017 262   @ Wagner W 72-67 40%     7 - 12 5 - 4 +1.7 +3.0 -1.0
  Jan 28, 2017 275   Robert Morris W 89-83 OT 63%     8 - 12 6 - 4 -3.4 +9.3 -13.2
  Feb 02, 2017 346   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-61 80%     9 - 12 7 - 4 +2.3 +4.1 -1.1
  Feb 04, 2017 261   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-78 40%     10 - 12 8 - 4 -1.3 +6.3 -7.5
  Feb 09, 2017 262   Wagner L 74-76 OT 59%     10 - 13 8 - 5 -10.4 -5.3 -5.0
  Feb 11, 2017 216   Mount St. Mary's L 62-81 50%     10 - 14 8 - 6 -25.1 -7.5 -18.8
  Feb 16, 2017 338   @ Central Connecticut St. W 80-71 73%     11 - 14 9 - 6 -3.2 +8.8 -11.2
  Feb 18, 2017 285   @ Bryant L 75-79 47%     11 - 15 9 - 7 -9.2 -6.8 -2.1
  Feb 23, 2017 299   Sacred Heart W 73-64 70%     12 - 15 10 - 7 -2.3 -6.8 +4.1
  Feb 25, 2017 277   Fairleigh Dickinson W 70-64 64%     13 - 15 11 - 7 -3.6 -10.9 +7.2
  Mar 01, 2017 285   Bryant W 100-78 66%     14 - 15 +11.7 +12.1 -2.3
  Mar 04, 2017 262   @ Wagner W 71-70 40%     15 - 15 -2.3 +7.4 -9.6
  Mar 07, 2017 216   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-71 32%     15 - 16 -11.0 -9.8 -1.2
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%